• A’ja Wilson is the reigning MVP and has won the award three times in the past five seasons. Does she have the inside track this year as well?
  • Napheesa Collier finished runner-up in the MVP race last season and is making a strong case for serious consideration this season.
  • Lastly, reigning Rookie of the Year Caitlin Clark is also in the league MVP conversation.

We are approximately a third of the way through the WNBA season, which means it’s a good time to take an early look at the players with the best MVP odds.

Best WNBA MVP Odds: Napheesa Collier (-300)

Napheesa Collier finished second in the 2024 MVP race after guiding the Minnesota Lynx to a 30-10 record, the second-best mark in the league behind the New York Liberty.

After coming up short in last year’s Finals series, the Lynx are off to a hot start, posting 12 victories in their first 14 outings. Additionally, this group is ranked second in offensive efficiency and boasts the best defensive rating.

In 2024, Collier averaged 20.4 points per game on 49.2 percent shooting overall and 31 percent from beyond the arc. This year, she is averaging a career-best 24.4 points per game on shooting splits of .524/.421/.931, which are also career highs.

If Collier continues along this trajectory throughout the season, the award will be hers to lose.

Second Best WNBA MVP Odds: Caitlin Clark (+250)

The player with the second-best MVP odds is none other than Caitlin Clark. Although she had a decorated collegiate career, it would have been reasonable to wonder if her game would translate at the next level.

Not only did Clark live up to the hype, but she exceeded expectations. During her rookie campaign, she compiled averages of 19.2 points, 5.7 rebounds, and 8.4 assists per outing.

Furthermore, the Fever played 36 of their 40 games on national television in 2024. That number increased to 41 games this season. Clark has missed five games due to a quad injury. However, her production remains similar to the numbers she posted in 2024.

Clark is averaging 18.2 points, 5.0 rebounds, and 8.9 assists per game across nine appearances. The reigning Rookie of the Year is shooting 39 percent overall and 29.5 percent from three-point range.

Clark has some ground to cover concerning overtaking Collier in the MVP race. However, what cannot be overlooked is that viewership interest has increased since she arrived in the league. Given her phenomenal skill set, this trend is likely to continue for many years to come.

Third Best WNBA MVP Odds: A’Ja Wilson (+3500)

A’ja Wilson, who won her third MVP award in 2024, rounds out the top three players vying for the award.

During her MVP campaign, Wilson posted career highs in both points (26.9) and rebounds (11.9). Additionally, her 51.8 percent conversion rate was the second-highest mark of her career.

This season, the two-time WNBA champion is averaging 21.1 points and 9.8 rebounds per outing. Also, her overall shooting percentage dipped from 51.8 to 43.4. And her 3-point shooting efficiency dropped from 31.7 percent down to 22.2 percent.

True, there is a noticeable dip in production compared to the 2024 campaign. Despite this fact, Wilson leads the team in scoring, rebounding, steals, and blocks. Given the Aces’ mediocre 7-7 record, the odds of her winning the award right now are slim and none.

However, if she can lead Las Vegas to another playoff appearance, which seems a tall order at the moment, that may help her make up some ground in this race.

James Tillman
James Tillman

Betting Preview Analyst/Contributor

James blends 16 years of freelance writing with his accounting acumen, specializing in sports betting. He expertly crafts picks for ATS, over/under, and player props, providing valuable insights for bettors at all levels.

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