#14 Wright State vs #3 Virginia NCAAB Pick: Cavaliers face Raiders in First Round (Mar 20)

Published Mar 18, 8:32pm ET by

Gabriel Kozlow - Betting Preview Analyst and Sports Writer

Last updated Mar 18, 8:32pm ET

Pick status

Updated Mar 18, 8:33pm ET

  • #14 Wright State beat Detroit 66-63 to win the Horizon League title.
  • #3 Virginia lost the conference title to Duke 70-74.
  • This will be the first time these two teams play each other.

The Wright State Raiders will face the Virginia Cavaliers in the First Round of the Midwest Region in March Madness. The game will be played at Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia, with Virginia heavily favored to win.

VIRGINIA CAVALIERS vs. WRIGHT STATE RAIDERS Overview Watch On: TBS

DATE & TIME

FRIDAY, MARCH 20, 2026 @ 12:50PM ET
VIRGINIA CAVALIERS
Xfinity Mobile Arena
Philadelphia, PA
WRIGHT STATE RAIDERS
GAME ODDS
BetOnline
VIRGINIA CAVALIERS -2800
WRIGHT STATE RAIDERS +1300

Raiders will Focus on Controlling Tempo

The Wright State Raiders are making their fifth March Madness appearance and are still searching for their first-ever tournament win. Their last appearance came in 2022, and they now face a difficult challenge in trying to get past Virginia.

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Historically, a No. 14 seed defeats a No. 3 seed about 15% of the time, but the Raiders face a tough point spread in this matchup. They will need strong performances from Michael Cooper, Michael Imariagbe, and TJ Burke. Wright State also enters this game riding a five-game winning streak.

Cavaliers Will Rely on Tough Defense

The Cavaliers have had a strong season so far and will look to make a deep run in March Madness. They lost their last game to Duke in the ACC Championship, but nearly pulled off the win. Virginia has made 25+ March Madness appearances and won its only national title in 2019.

Virginia is allowing just 68.4 points per game while scoring 80.6 points per game offensively. They also hold a five-rebound advantage over Wright State, so they will need to capitalize on that edge, especially through Thijs De Ridder.

Wright State vs Virginia NCAAB Pick

The Virginia Cavaliers are -21.5 point favorites, with the total set at 145.5. On the moneyline, Virginia is listed at -2800, while the Raiders come in at +1300.

Virginia has been playing strong basketball lately, despite a close loss to Duke in their previous game. We do not expect the Raiders to pull off the upset, which is why we have Virginia advancing.

Pick
Virginia Cavaliers (-2800)
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