Kentucky Derby Props Picks — Gate-to-Wire Winner, Horse to Finish Last & Odd/Even Betting (2025)
The 151st Kentucky Derby will be staged at Churchill Downs on Saturday, May 3, 2025. For many, the hard work...

Credit: AI Generated
Last updated May 1, 4:21am ET
The 151st Kentucky Derby will be staged at Churchill Downs on Saturday, May 3, 2025. For many, the hard work of picking out the winner of the opening leg of the Triple Crown has been completed.
However, if you’re still assessing the field, you can find our runner-by-runner guide helpful. A wide number of props markets are available this weekend, and you can find our picks here.
Kentucky Derby Information
Stat | Information |
---|---|
When | Saturday, May 3, 2025 at 6:51 PM ET |
Where | Churchill Downs, Louisville, Kentucky |
How to Watch | NBC/USA Network/Peacock |
Gate-to-Wire Winner of the Kentucky Derby Odds
Gate-to-Wire winner | Odds |
---|---|
Yes | +425 |
No | -800 |
Gate-to-wire victories in the Kentucky Derby have been a rarity since 1875, with only 23 horses achieving the feat. Authentic became the most recent wire-to-wire winner in 2020. Therefore, the trends don’t look positive for runners such as Rodriguez, who will look to run out the challenges of their opponents.
Pick
No (-800)
|
New Player Bonus
50% up to $1000
|
Horse to Finish Last in the Kentucky Derby Odds
Horse To Finish Last | Odds |
---|---|
Render Judgement | +400 |
Flying Mohawk | +500 |
Neoequos | +600 |
Admire Daytona | +600 |
Chunk Of Gold | +600 |
Owen Almighty | +600 |
Other Selections | +800 & Bigger |
While getting to the Derby is a huge feat in itself, connections will at least want to be competitive at Churchill Downs this weekend. Therefore, there is an interesting betting market revolving around the dreaded last finishing position.
American Promise would be our selection in this market. The three-year-old has been inconsistent throughout this season, despite winning on his most recent start. A low draw could also be detrimental to his chances, with plenty of early speed around him.
Pick
American Promise (+1200)
|
New Player Bonus
50% up to $1000
|
Number of Words in Winner’s Name Odds
Number of Words in Winner’s Name | Odds |
---|---|
One | -500 |
Two | +240 |
Three | +5500 |
Due to three of the top four selections in the betting featuring horses with one word in their name, it is no surprise to see ‘One’ dominate this props market.
However, the two horses that we like for the opening leg of the Triple Crown both feature two words. Therefore, the second choice in the betting is our selection.
Pick
Two (+240)
|
New Player Bonus
50% up to $1000
|
Odd/Even Racehorse Number Winner Odds
Odd/Even Racehorse Number | Odds |
---|---|
Odds | +150 |
Even | -200 |
The horses that we like are divided across odd and even numbers, which makes this one of the more challenging props markets. However, our top choice for the race is an odd, which also covers selections such as Luxor Cafe and Sandman, who are prominent in the betting.
Pick
Odd (+150)
|
New Player Bonus
50% up to $1000
|
Starting Gate Number of Kentucky Derby Winner Odds
Winning Starting Gate Number | Odds |
---|---|
1-10 | -240 |
11-20 | +165 |
Each of the last two winners of the Derby have been drawn ten or lower, while five of the last eight have also matched this trend. Therefore, it is a good sign that our selection for the race this weekend has a low draw. For that reason, 1-10 is our props pick in this market.
Pick
1-10 (-240)
|
New Player Bonus
50% up to $1000
|
First Trainer/Jockey Win in Kentucky Derby Odds
Debut Trainer Win in Derby | Odds |
---|---|
Yes | +1200 |
No | -5000 |
Debut Jockey Win In Derby | Odds |
---|---|
Yes | +450 |
No | -600 |
A debut training win in the Derby this year looks incredibly hard to foresee. However, a number of jockeys will be taking their first rides in the prestigious race. Despite this, the horses that we like in the race this weekend will have previous Churchill Downs experience on Derby Day.
Pick
No Debut Jockey Win in Kentucky Derby (-600)
|
New Player Bonus
50% up to $1000
|