Lynx vs Mercury WNBA Pick: Minnesota Looks To Stay Hot At Home (Jul 13)

Published Jul 12, 2:58am ET by

James Tillman - Betting Preview Analyst and Sports Writer

Last updated Jul 12, 2:58am ET

Pick status
The Lynx host the Mercury on Monday night.

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Updated Jul 12, 2:58am ET

  • The Lynx moved to 17-6 after beating the New York Liberty 90-85.
  • Phoenix dropped to 8-16 following a lopsided loss to the Las Vegas Aces.
  • Minnesota leads the season series 2-0.

One of Monday's WNBA matchups features the Minnesota Lynx taking on the Phoenix Mercury. Which team has the edge in our Lynx vs Mercury pick?

Minnesota Lynx vs. Phoenix Mercury Overview Watch On: Peacock

DATE & TIME

MONDAY, JULY 13, 2026 @ 9:00 PM ET
Minnesota Lynx
Target Center
Minneapolis, MN
Phoenix Mercury
GAME ODDS
BetOnline
Minnesota Lynx -11.5 (-110)
Phoenix Mercury +11.5 (-110)

The Lynx aim to extend their win streak to three games

Minnesota has won two straight following a two-game slide. This includes a 90-85 victory over the New York Liberty on Saturday.

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The Lynx saw their 10-point halftime lead flip to a one-point deficit entering the fourth quarter. But thanks to a 29-23 advantage in the final frame, which included four clutch free throws from Olivia Miles, the host team hung on for the win.

Kayla McBride put up a team-high 25 points and hit 5 of her 11 3-point attempts. Miles added 23 points, five rebounds, and four assists, giving Minnesota a solid one-two punch in the backcourt.

Phoenix looks to recover from an embarrassing loss to the Aces

Meanwhile, the Mercury have dropped three straight after a three-game win streak. Their last outing was one they'd like to forget, as they dropped a 106-58 decision to the Las Vegas Aces.

The suspense factor faded fast in this one. Phoenix trailed by 20 points (29-9) after the first quarter, and the deficit eventually grew to as many as 54 points in the fourth quarter. The Aces' 48-point margin of victory was the third-largest in WNBA history.

Monique Akoa Makani scored 13 points on 5‑for‑13 shooting, while Lexi Held led the second unit with 11 points, three rebounds, and two assists. Beyond those two double‑digit scorers, Phoenix struggled to generate consistent offense, shooting just 35 percent overall and 7‑for‑31 from beyond the arc, numbers that defined the Mercury’s difficulties against one of the top teams in the association.

Lynx vs Mercury WNBA Pick

Thanks to four wins in its last six tries, Minnesota is listed as an 11.5-point favorite. Here's what you need to know for both teams ahead of this tilt.

  • The Lynx are 7-3 (SU) in their previous 10 games.
  • Minnesota is 2-3 ATS in its last five outings.
  • The Mercury are 4-6 (SU) in their previous 10 contests.
  • Phoenix is 2-3 ATS in its last five matchups.

The Lynx are 3-2 in their last five games at the Target Center. On the other side, Phoenix is 2-3 across its last five road outings, but has won three of the previous five meetings in this series. Even with that, siding with Minnesota is the wise play based on recent performances.

Pick
Minnesota Lynx (-11.5)
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