- The Los Angeles Dodgers and Atlanta Braves meet Thursday evening at Truist Park.
- Yoshinobu Yamamoto takes the mound for Los Angeles.
- Chris Sale gets the start for Atlanta.
The Los Angeles Dodgers visit Truist Park Thursday evening in a clash between two front-line starters atop the National League ERA leaderboard.
Yamamoto’s ERA Flatters Him
Yoshinobu Yamamoto carries a 2.61 ERA and 3.27 FIP across 23 starts and 151.2 innings this season. The FIP sits well above the ERA, so the ERA flatters him. His last three starts, oldest first: no earned runs in 5.2 innings on Aug 8. He allowed one earned run in six innings on Aug 14, then two earned runs in 6.1 innings on Aug 21.
Los Angeles has gone 6-4 over its last ten games and sits at 80-53 on the season. Los Angeles’s lineup carries a .761 OPS, tops between the two clubs here. Los Angeles’s bullpen carries a 3.65 FIP, the sharper unit in this game.
Sale’s ERA Reflects Real Performance
Chris Sale carries a 2.20 ERA and 2.24 FIP across 23 starts and 135.0 innings this season. The two marks sit almost on top of each other, so the ERA reflects real performance rather than luck. His last three starts, oldest first: three earned runs in six innings on Aug 8. He allowed one earned run in six innings on Aug 14, then two earned runs in six innings again on Aug 21.
Atlanta has gone 5-5 over its last ten games and sits at 78-55 on the season. Atlanta’s lineup carries a .721 OPS, a 40-point gap behind Los Angeles. Atlanta’s bullpen carries a 4.16 FIP, the softer unit here.
Dodgers vs Braves Pick
Los Angeles holds the better record, the better lineup, and the sharper bullpen heading into Atlanta, and getting plus money on top of those edges makes the Dodgers the play. Sale’s near-identical ERA and FIP make him a legitimately tough matchup, a real threat to keep this one close. Los Angeles’s roster-wide advantages should still be enough to get the job done on the road. Take Los Angeles.
Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers +101
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Pick
Los Angeles Dodgers +101
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