The Open Picks, Odds & Preview (Jul 16-19)

Published Jul 14, 2:22am ET by

Alex Dudley - Betting Preview Analyst and Sports Writer

Last updated Jul 14, 2:22am ET

Pick status
PGA Tour action is set for Detroit Golf Club this week, as the Rocket Classic gets underway on July 30. Find the odds and our picks here.

Credit: Shutterstock

Updated Jul 14, 2:22am ET

All eyes will be on one of the most historic golf events this weekend, as the fourth and final major of 2026 will be staged at Royal Birkdale. You can find the odds and our picks for The Open Championship here.

Odds

PlayerOdds
Scottie Scheffler+750
Rory McIlroy+900
Matt Fitzpatrick+1600
Tommy Fleetwood+1600
Jon Rahm+2500
Chris Gotterup+2800
Xander Schauffele+2800
Other Selections+3000 & Bigger

The Open Recent Winners

YearWinner
2025Scottie Scheffler
2024Xander Schauffele
2023Brian Harman
2022Cameron Smith
2021Collin Morikawa

ALSO SEE: World Cup 2026 Outright Winner Odds, Preview, and Picks

The Open: Event Information

StatInformation
Date & TimeThursday, July 16, 2026 โ€“ Sunday, July 19, 2026
VenueRoyal Birkdale, Merseyside, England
How to WatchGolf Channel, USA, NBC

Event Preview

One of the most historic golf events on the global calendar is set for this week, as The Open Championship is staged at Royal Birkdale. This event is the oldest on the PGA Tour calendar, having been staged for the first time in 1860. A purse of $17 million will be up for grabs, with a total yardage of 7,156 covered.

It is the first time since Jordan Spieth's Open win in 2017 that Royal Birkdale will host the final major of the season. Scottie Scheffler is an unsurprising favorite to become the first player since Padraig Harrington in 2008 to retain his title. However, his long sequence of paydays ended when he failed to make the cut at last weekend's Scottish Open.

Rory McIlroy endured a frustrating weekend in Scotland last time out, but he rallied to finish in T7. The Northern Irishman has previous success at Royal Birkdale, finishing T4 back in 2017. Holds very obvious claims this weekend.

Matt Fitzpatrick has been in red-hot form this season, winning three times on the PGA Tour. His excellent streak continued with a T3 at the Scottish Open last weekend. Is yet to carry that form into a major this season, but he was T4 at last year's Open.

Collin Morikawa is a defending champion worth considering this weekend. The American has been largely consistent this season, and followed up a T17 finish at the U.S. Open with a third at the Travelers Championship. Seaminingly goes well on links courses.

The Open Picks

After failing to win in 44 attempts, this weekend could be Tommy Fleetwood's moment in a major. The reigning FedEx Cup champion has been in consistent form throughout this season, echoed by a T13 finish at the Scottish Open last weekend. Finished T27 at The Open back in 2017, and has achieved three top tens since 2019.

Pick
Tommy Fleetwood (+1600)
New Player Bonus
50% up to $1000